B.R.I.C.S.
Get to know that word. It signifies the LINKING
of FIVE, MIGHTY COUNTRIES, a third of the planet, a third of the planet's
economy. They are third world MINDS but NOT THIRD WORLD ECONOMIES..They are the hottest, most growth-prone GNP's on Planet Earth and they're
linking in a BRICK WALL to keep out AMERICA. Their BRICK WALL is more than
just a hedge against the ABUSE of Wall Street, London banks and the Dollar.
It is going to put AMERICA IN A BOX and BURY US.
BRAZIL, RUSSIA, INDIA, CHINA and SOUTH AFRICA are the five bricks. Their
moving OFF the dollar signals the end of the dollar regency. These five
have bustling, hefty economies. If they are cutting AMERICA out of the
decisions, the BRICS BUCK will be the KING on Planet Earth. China joined
up with these other 'winners' to do this. Why? Well, Russia and China,
man they are trained LENINISTS. They know the reputation of Wall Street
/ London capitalists. They despise chronically crooked, colonizing
Capitalism. See: http://eng.news.kremlin.ru/news/3605
What can we do? War on them the way we did on Iraq and are now doing on IRAN?
IRAN JOINS MUSLIM WORLD IN SWITCH AWAY FROM DOLLAR http://newropeans-magazine.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=3463&Itemid=85
March 26, 2006: Iran-USA, beginning
of a major world crisis,
or The End of the Western World we have known since 1945????
The Laboratoire Europe Anticipation Politique Europe 2020, i. e. LEAP/E2020, now estimates to over 80% the probability that the week of March 20-26, 2006 will be the beginning of the most significant political crisis the world has known since the Fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989, together with an economic and financial crisis of a scope comparable with that of 1929.
This last week of March 2006 will be the turning-point of a number of critical developments, resulting in an acceleration of all the factors leading to a major crisis, disregard any American or Israeli military intervention against Iran. In case such an intervention is conducted, the probability of a major crisis to start rises up to 100%, according to LEAP/E2020.
An Alarm based on 2 verifiable events The announcement of this crisis results from the analysis of decisions taken by the two key-actors of the main on-going international crisis, i.e. the United States and Iran: on the one hand there is the Iranian decision of opening the first oil bourse priced in Euros on March 20th, 2006 in Teheran, available to all oil producers of the region ;
- on the other hand, there is the decision of the American Federal Reserve to stop publishing M3 figures (the most reliable indicator on the amount of dollars circulating in the world) from March 23, 2006 onward[1].
These two decisions constitute altogether the
indicators, the causes and the consequences of the historical transition
in progress between the order created after World War II and the new international
equilibrium
in gestation since the collapse of the USSR.
Their magnitude as much as their simultaneity will catalyze all the tensions,
weaknesses and imbalances accumulated since more than a decade throughout
the international system.
A world crisis declined in 7 sector-based crises LEAP/E2020's researchers and analysts thus identified 7 convergent crises that the American and Iranian decisions coming into effect during the last week of March 2006, will catalyze and turn into a total crisis, affecting the whole planet in the political, economic and financial fields, as well as in the military field most probably too:
1. Crisis of confidence in the Dollar
2. Crisis of US financial imbalances
3. Oil crisis 4. Crisis of the American leadership
5. Crisis of the Arabo-Muslim world
6. Global governance crisis
7. European governance crisis
The entire process of anticipation of this crisis
is
described
in detail in coming issues of LEAP/E2020 confidential letter the
GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin, and in particular in the 2nd issue
to be released on February 16, 2006. These coming issues will present the
detailed analysis of each of the 7 crises, together with a large set of
recommendations intended for various categories of players (governments
and companies, namely), as well as with a number of operational and strategic
advice for the European Union.
Decoding of the event - Creation of the Iranian
Oil Bourse priced in
Euro However, and in order not to limit this
information to decision
makers solely, LEAP/E2020 has decided to circulate
widely this official
statement together with the following series
of arguments resulting from
work conducted. Iran's opening of an Oil Bourse
priced in Euros at the
end of March 2006 will be the end of the monopoly
of the Dollar on the
global oil market. The immediate result is likely
to upset the
international currency market as producing countries
will be able to
charge their production in Euros also. In parallel,
European countries
in particular will be able to buy oil directly
in their own currency
without going though the Dollar. Concretely speaking,
in both cases this
means that a lesser number of economic actors
will need a lesser number
of Dollars [2]. This double development will
thus head to the same
direction, i.e. a very significant reduction
of the importance of the
Dollar as the international reserve currency,
and therefore a
significant and sustainable weakening of the
American currency, in
particular compared to the Euro. The most conservative
evaluations give
€1 to $1,30 US Dollar by the end
of 2006. But if the crisis reaches
the scope anticipated by LEAP/E2020, estimates
of €1 for $1,70 in 2007
are no longer unrealistic.
Decoding of the event -End of publication of the
M3 macro-economic
indicator - The end of the publication
by the American Federal Reserve
of the M3 monetary aggregate (and that of other
omponents)[3], a
decision vehemently criticized by the community
of economists and
financial analysts, will have as a consequence
to lose transparency on
the evolution of the amount of Dollars in circulation
worldwide. For
some months, already, M3 has significantly increased
(indicating that
money printing has already speeded up in
Washington), knowing that
the new President of the US Federal Reserve,
Ben Bernanke, is a
self-acknowledged fan of money printing
[4]. Considering that a
strong fall of the Dollar would probably result
in a massive sale of the
US Treasury Bonds held in Asia, in Europe and
in the oil-producing
countries, LEAP/E2020 estimates that the American
decision to stop
publishing M3 aims at hiding as long as possible
two US decisions,
partly imposed by the political and economic
choices made these last
years[5]: . the monetarisation of the US debt
. the launch of a
monetary policy to support US economic activity.
two policies to be
implemented until at least the October 2006 mid-term
elections, in
order to prevent the Republican Party from being
sent in reeling. This
M3-related decision also illustrates the incapacity
of the US and
international monetary and financial authorities
put in a situation
where they will in the end prefer to remove the
indicator rather than
try to act on the reality.
Decoding of the aggravating factor - The military
intervention against
Iran - Iran holds some significant
geo-strategic assets in the current
crisis, such as its ability to intervene easily
and with a major impact
on the oil provisioning of Asia and Europe (by
blocking the Strait of
Ormuz), on the conflicts in progress in Iraq
and Afghanistan, not to
mention the possible recourse to international
terrorism. But besides
these aspects, the growing distrust towards Washington
creates a
particularly problematic situation. Far from
calming both Asian and
European fears concerning the accession of Iran
to the statute of
nuclear power, a military intervention against
Iran would result in an
quasi-immediate dissociation of the European
public opinions[6] which,
in a context where Washington has lost its credibility
in handling
properly this type of case since the invasion
of Iraq, will prevent the
European governments from making any thing else
than follow their public
opinions. In parallel, the rising cost of oil
which would follow such an
ntervention will lead Asian countries, China
first and foremost, to
oppose this option, thus forcing the United States
(or Israel) to
intervene on their own, without UN guarantee,
therefore adding a severe
military and diplomatic crisis to the economic
and financial crisis.
Relevant factors of the American economic crisis
LEAP/E2020 anticipate
that these two non-official decisions will involve
the United States and
the world in a monetary, financial, and soon
economic crisis without
precedent on a planetary scale. The monetarisation
of the US debt
is indeed a very technical term describing a
catastrophically simple
reality: the United States undertake not to refund
their debt, or more
exactly to refund it in "monkey currency". LEAP/E2020
also anticipate
that the process will accelerate at the end of
March, in coincidence
with the launching of the Iranian Oil Bourse,
which can only precipitate
the sales of US Treasury Bonds by their non-American
holders.
In this perspective, it is useful to contemplate
the following
information[7]: the share of the debt of the
US government owned by US
banks fell down to 1,7% in 2004, as opposed to
18% in 1982. In parallel,
the share of this same debt wned by foreign operators
went from 17% in
1982 up to 49% in 2004. → Question: How
comes that US banks got rid of
almost all their share of the US national debt
over the last years?
Moreover, in order to try to avoid the explosion
of the "real-estate
bubble" on which rests the US household consumption,
and at a time when
the US saving rate has become negative for the
first time since 1932 and
1933 (in the middle of the "Great Depression"),
the Bush administration,
in partnership with the new owner of the US Federal
Reserve and a
follower f this monetary approach, will flood
the US market of
liquidities.
Some anticipated effects of this systemic rupture
According to
LEAP/E2020,
the non-accidental conjunction of the Iranian and American
decisions, is a decisive stage in he release
of a systemic crisis
marking the end of the international order set
up after World War II,
and will be characterised between the end of
March and the end of the
year 2006 by a plunge in the dollar (possibly
down to 1 Euro = 1,70 US
Dollars in 2007) putting an immense upward pressure
on the Euro, a
significant rise of the oil price (over 100$
per barrel), an aggravation
of the American and British military situations
in the Middle East, a US
budgetary, financial and economic crisis comparable
in scope with the
1929 crisis, very serious economic and financial
consequences for Asia
in particular (namely China) but also for the
United Kingdom[8], a
sudden stop in the economic process of globalisation,
a collapse of the
transatlantic axis leading to a general increase
of all the domestic and
external political dangers all over the world.
For individual dollar-holders, as for trans-national
corporations or
political and administrative decision makers,
the consequences of this
last week of March 2006 will be crucial. These
consequences require some
difficult decisions to be made as soon as possible
(crisis anticipation
is always a complex process since it relies on
a bet) because once the
crisis egins, the stampede starts and all those
who chose to wait lose.
For private individuals, the choice is clear:
the US Dollar no longer is
refuge currency. The rising-cost of gold over
the last year
shows that many people have already anticipated
this trend of the US
currency.
Anticipating or being swept away by the winds
of history For
companies and governments, it is crucial to integrate
now action plans
in today's decision-making processes, which can
contribute to soften
significantly the "monetary, financial and economic
tsunami" which will
break on the planet at the end of next month.
To use a simple image –
by the way, one used in the political anticipation
scenario
USA 2010 9] -, the impact of the events of the
last week of March 2006 on the
Western World we have known since 1945 will be
comparable to the
impact of the Fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989
on the Soviet
Block,
If this Alarm is so precise, it is that LEAP/E2020's
analyses
concluded that all possible scenarios now lead
to one single result: we
collectively approach a "historical node" which
is henceforth inevitable
whatever the action of international or national
actors. At this stage,
only a direct and immediate action on the part
of the US administration
aimed at preventing a military confrontation
with Iran on the one hand,
and at giving up the idea to monetarise the US
foreign debt on the other
hand, could change the course of events. For
LEAP/E2020 it is obvious
that not only such actions will not be initiated
by the current leaders
in Washington, but that on the contrary they
have already chosen "to
force the destiny" by shirking their economic
and financial problems at
the expense of the rest of the world. European
governments in particular
should draw very quickly all the conclusions
from this fact.
For information, LEAP/E2020's
original method of political anticipation
has allowed several of its experts to anticipate
(and publish) in
particular : in 1988, the approaching end of
the Iron Curtain; in 1997,
the progressive collapse in capacity of action
and democratic legitimacy
of the European institutional system; in 2002,
the US being stuck in
Iraq quagmire and above all the sustainable
collapse of US
international credibility; in 2003, the failure
of the referenda on the
European Constitution. Its methodology of anticipation
of "systemic
ruptures" now being well established, it is our
duty as researchers and
citizens to share it with the citizens and the
European decision makers;
especially because for individual or collective,
private or public
players, it is still time to undertake measures
in order to reduce
significantly the impact of this crisis on their
positions whether these
are economic, political or financial.
SEE THIS VIDEO on You Tube: Gerald Celente: Banks robbing the people Greek demonstrations against bankers have now spread to Greece, Ireland and Rumania. Gerald Celente tells Russia Today why protests are likely to spread as people realize what's really going on:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W6yYqtNioeE&feature=related
SO, what can you do to survive? Take free seminar,
"HOW TO EXPORT MERCHANDISE."
Meanwhile start being a community!
Another feature of a community is the bartering of TIME. What is a
time exchange?
At its most basic level, a time exchange or time bank is simply about
spending an hour doing something for somebody in your community. That hour
is recorded in the online software as a time credit. You can then use that
time credit, or HOUR, to use having someone do something for you. This
is not about getting paid for helping your neighbors. It's about leveling
the playing field and enabling individuals of all ages, life experiences,
and income levels to rediscover their gifts and reinvest themselves and
in their communities. This is about working together to build a stronger,
more united community. So I help you pick peaches in July, you help me
harvest apples in October. We both make wine when our grapes get sweet,
hopefully yours are different variety than mine, ripen at a different time.
All intensive labor chores, pork slaughter, sowing...cheese making might
occasion work sharing.
for rest of article go to hour4hourtimeexchange type sites. A list:
http://www.similarsites.com/site/hour4hourtimeexchange.org
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