Editor's Note: The following is an excerpt
from Losing Our Cool: Uncomfortable Truths about Our Air-Conditioned
World (and Finding New Ways to Get Through
the Summer) by Stan Cox (New Press). You can also read a recent
piece from Cox about tips for staying cool
without air-conditioning.
Eddie Slautas turned down his neighbors' repeated offers to install
a window air conditioner in his Chicago apartment. Even
when they said they'd help him pay the difference in his utility bill,
the 74-year-old demurred. "Why should I make my electric
bill higher?" he asked. "The fan is good enough." Then came a fierce
midsummer heat wave. On the night of July 30, 1999, the
neighbors found Slautas dead. The
fan was running, blowing hot air across his body. He was one of 103 Chicagoans
killed by the heat that week.
On the last night of July 2006, a Commonwealth Edison power cable running
beneath the city of Chicago failed, putting 3,400
customers in the dark. The next day, as temperatures reached 100 degrees
on the fifth day of a blistering heat wave, 1,300
people had to be evacuated from high-rise residential buildings in
the area. Their apartments had become saunas, so they took
refuge in air-conditioned shelters. Resident Lutricia Somerville, who
had resorted to spending much of the night in her parked
truck with the air conditioner running, told a reporter, "It's just
like Hurricane Katrina." Those trapped in the heat must indeed
have felt some of the desperation that had hit New Orleans residents
11 months earlier. But the outage was short-lived, and this
time no one died or suffered serious medical problems.
Life and Death on Heat Island
In June 2009, the U.S. Global Change Research Program -- a cooperative
effort by 13 federal agencies and the White
House-- issued an alarming 188-page progress report on the pace of
global warming. Among many dire predictions was a
forecast of deteriorating human health. Thomas Karl, director of the
National Climatic Data Center and the report's principal
author, said health was the issue sparking the most discussion among
the agencies and leading to the least certain conclusions;
however, the report confidently predicted increasing rates of heat-related
illness and mortality, and that higher temperatures,
along with air pollution, would cause the already accelerating rates
of asthma and other respiratory ailments to rise even faster.
Heat waves continue to plague Chicago, but the city is better prepared
than it once was. Its public health officials are
determined to avoid a replay of the bitter experience of July 1995,
when more than 550 city residents were killed by
record-breaking heat. Most of those who died had no air-conditioning,
or if they did, they could not afford the electricity to run
it. The record numbers of air conditioners that were switched on triggered
more than 1,300 failures in the electricity supply
system, many of them caused by overheating of overloaded transformers.
A series of blackouts hit both rich and poor
neighborhoods, but the bulk of the casualties occurred in lower-income
areas.
Longer, more intense heat waves hit Chicago in 1931 and 1936 but killed
far fewer people. That difference between the 1930s
and 1990s has puzzled experts; residential air-conditioning was virtually
unheard of in the 1930s, and the inner city's population
was only slightly smaller then than it is today. However, the average
age of residents has increased, there is a lot more concrete
to hold the heat, and analysts at the Midwestern Climate Center have
suggested that people, especially older people, have
become more afraid of crime and more reluctant to leave doors and windows
open or to sleep outdoors (as many did in the
1930s). The analysts went on to suggest that "many people have also
forgotten how to 'live and function' with high
temperatures."
Air-conditioning has been credited with huge improvements in the health
of the U.S. population. Ray Arsenault provided a
partial list of benefits that were realized in the first few decades
of climate control: "Air-conditioning has reduced fetal and infant
mortality, prolonged the lives of thousands of patients suffering from
heart disease and respiratory disorders, increased the
reliability and sophistication of micro-surgery, facilitated the institutionalization
of public health, and aided the production of
modern drugs such as penicillin."
Air-conditioning can also be an important tool in dealing with the kinds
of weather crises that may become more frequent.
Within the first few hours of the extensive August 2003 power blackout
in the Great Lakes and Northeast, emergency rooms
were overwhelmed with patients, a large proportion of them suffering
in one way or another from heat stress. Most were
rushed into air-conditioned shelters, where they recovered. There is
also evidence that air-conditioning provides routine
protection against illnesses caused by allergens, air pollution and
mosquito-borne pathogens and parasites.
Despite conflicting research results -- some statistics show that air-conditioning
has reduced heat-related death rates while
others, as we will see, find air-conditioning's effects swamped out
by socioeconomic forces -- the most direct and quantifiable
claim made for air-conditioning is that it can reduce the death toll
during a heat wave if broad access is ensured.
The nation's average temperatures dropped following the hot 1930s, but
heat waves made a comeback during the age of
air-conditioning. From 1949 to 1995, the frequency of heat waves increased
20 percent, and the trend has steepened since;
matters are predicted to worsen. The Global Change Research Program
report, for one, is forecasting that "extreme heat
waves, which are currently rare, will become much more common in the
future."
In a highly unusual incident that we can only hope is never repeated,
an extraordinarily large, intense mass of heat and humidity
in August 2003 reportedly killed 35,000 to 52,000 people in Europe.
Most of the victims lived in places that normally see
much milder summer weather and have few air-conditioners or other means
of defense against severe heat. Part of the increase
in superheated weather in cities across the globe can be attributed
to the heat-island effect, but these early days of global
warming may already be generating more heat emergencies.
Average over the past century, heat and humidity have killed far more
Americans than any other type of adverse weather. In 44
of the largest U.S. cities, heat waves kill more than 1,800 people
per year on average, but the annual toll rises and falls steeply,
depending on whether or not there was a major-league heat wave in a
given year.
A 2003 study of 28 U.S. cities suggests that the increase in heat-wave
deaths between the 1930s and 1990s in Chicago may
have been an exception; average numbers of heat-related deaths dropped
by 59 percent from the 1960s and 1970s to the
1980s and continued falling through the 1990s. The study concluded,
"This systematic desensitization of the metropolitan
populace to high heat and humidity over time can be attributed to a
suite of technologic, infrastructural, and biophysical
adaptations, including increased availability of air-conditioning."
A nationwide study that used statistical techniques to eliminate
the effects of other socioeconomic factors found that access to central
air-conditioning reduced death rates by 42 percent
during heat waves that occurred between 1980 and 1985. Room air conditioners,
in contrast, had no effect, except in the
smallest, one- to three-room dwellings, where a window unit "may be
seen as nearly equivalent to central air-conditioning."
The health benefits of air-conditioning have not been shared evenly.
Historically, the most obvious disparities have been
between races. In four northern cities surveyed between 1986 and 1993,
41 percent of white households had air-conditioning,
compared with 16 percent of black households. Heat waves in Minneapolis
and Pittsburgh killed black residents at six to seven
times the rate at which they killed whites during that period. Almost
two-thirds of the difference in heat-related deaths between
the races was linked to differences in availability of central air-conditioning.
Central heating didn't have the same effect; racial
differences in death-rate peaks during winter cold spells were much
smaller.
People who enjoy easy access to central air-conditioning tend to assume
that surviving killer heat is no more than a matter of
motivation. One such person was Chicago's human services commissioner
Daniel Alvarez. In the wake of the city's 1995 heat
crisis, he told the press that its victims were "people who die because
they neglect themselves." But heat kills people like Eddie
Slautas not because they are lazy or stubborn but because they are
under economic stresses. People with central air, who
almost always survive heat waves, tend to have higher incomes; larger,
newer houses; better plumbing; and higher education
levels. All of those factors are also associated with lower heat-related
mortality. Heat death rarely visits well-to-do
neighborhoods; its victims are typically found in economically forgotten,
concrete-rich, vegetation-free nooks and crannies of
the larger cities. In the 21st century, air-conditioning has become
almost universally available, yet heat waves continue to kill.
Reducing that death toll will require changing communities, not just
individuals. One of several studies of the 1995 Chicago heat
wave concluded that "features of neighborhoods on a relatively small
geographic scale (e.g., amount of pedestrian traffic, small
shops, public meeting places) affect survival rates [positively]."
Marie O'Neill of the University of Michigan's School of Public
Health, the lead author of one of the studies and of the research that
produced the numbers in Table 5, says that while
"air-conditioning is protective in the home setting," when heat waves
come, home climate control is "less holistic and, of course,
the more climate-damaging alternative in the long term." Both her own
observations and the human experience documented in
Klinenberg's history of the 1995 tragedy, Heat Wave, emphasize "the
value of an overall healthier, more equitable, cohesive
neighborhood and society for the most vulnerable residents," according
to O'Neill.
Christian Warren is troubled by our dependence on artificial climate
control as a remedy for ills that run much deeper: "Now
you see air-conditioning pitched in the medical literature as an environmental
justice issue, because it can save lives during heat
waves. It has come to be regarded as another biotechnological tool.
They aren't asking what really kills people. What about
isolation, economic stress, crime, and paranoia about crime? You can
easily imagine a couple staying shut away in their
air-conditioned apartment during a hot spell, uninterested in checking
on their elderly next-door neighbor, who could be dying
of heat stroke."
If current greenhouse emissions continue, excess heat-related deaths
in the United States could climb into the range of 5,000
per year by 2050. The EPA suggests that public health officials prepare
for more frequent "extreme heat events."
Recommended actions include designating air-conditioned public buildings
and some private buildings like movie theaters and
shopping malls as cooling shelters, providing public transportation
to the shelters, and (in vaguely sinister-sounding terms)
targeting homeless people for "protective removal" to cooled spaces.
Cooling centers have become a common and highly effective strategy for
protecting residents of big cities, not only against killer
heat waves but against more routine hot weather as well. But for people
already dealing with health problems, it's not easy to
find the right temperature balance in a public cooling space. For example,
during a mid-August 2009 hot spell, some of those
taking refuge in a well-air-conditioned senior citizens' center in
Brooklyn were found to be covering their shoulders with
sweaters in order to stay warm. One of them, 78-year-old arthritis
sufferer Vida Ebrahim, told the New York Times, "My
apartment is so hot because the ceiling is low, so it keeps the heat.
Oh my God, it's murder. But the air-conditioner, it gives me
so much pain in my shoulders, in my knees."
Stan Cox is a plant breeder and
writer in Salina, Kansas. His book "Losing Our Cool: Uncomfortable Truths
about Our
Air-Conditioned World," will
be published next June by The New Press.